Let's start these lines by reviewing some concepts….
Cetheris Páribus: it is an expression from Latin (Indo-European), its interpretation is: “the remainder is kept constant”. The aforementioned suggests the idea that on a set of concomitant elements, inter-related in their existential action, we can paralyze said set except for one element, in this way we will observe the behavior of such element in isolation, that is, without the affectation that they impose on this component the rest of the conjunctive elements. For example, in economic matters the Cetheris Paribus is used to establish "Behavioral Assumptions" in a specific Variable, we can also isolate the Economic Variable that we choose one at a time, surely we will obtain differentiated results according to the Variable, these results being"Assumptions" about the variables analyzed individually.
Sensitivity Analysis: it is a method generally used in the world of High Finance, for the purposes of this writing my wish is to highlight the process of intertwining between different values, when one changes the final result changes, therefore it is interesting to discover the values with greater sensitivity towards the desired result, the salient point is to obtain different simulated scenarios in models of expectations, of success, moderate, or failure.
Tendential System: adding another concept to this development, the Tendential System shows us the probabilities to be given to a greater or lesser extent, the range of extremes can be modified, but the Tendential Logic has an Inertial implication, that is, Tendential Behaviors are based on their Historical Statistical Averages, in other words we would say that “what generally happened will happen”, except for the occurrence of an Anti-Trend Exception, this decrees a break, a break in the behavior of the observed Variable.
Trial, Trial and Error: we call this the Heuristic Mode used to "find" irrefutable facts and effects based on the execution of the assumption and its final result, we transform a hypothetical imaginary into a real event.
The Trial, Trial and Error assumes great wear and tear, however due to a "reality principle" the result is undeniable.
Conclusion: we can grasp these concepts to apply them in daily life, both Organizationally and Personally, the Cetheris Páribus is valid as a laboratory method, we cannot stop the march of the world to observe the behavior of a variable, the Sensitivity Analysis It will continue to be a basis for formulating various Probable Hypotheses, the Trend System will provide us with information on Potential Possibilities.
Without minimizing the aforementioned (quite the opposite), reality dictates that we live in a constant "Trial, Trial and Error", we have various "Analysis Tools", how important is the process of thinking to avoid erring paths, although reality shows us that in many cases there is no method of guaranteed predictability, complicating the scenario a bit more, it is necessary to underline the Cost, it is excessive in the case of wrong direction, because the payment for it can determine "Emotional Wounds" in addition to the " Time ”…… Unrecoverable Variable…
